Carlo Prato and Stephane Wolton (Georgetown University – Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service (SFS) and London School of Economics and Political Science) have posted Citizens United: A Theoretical Evaluation on SSRN. Here is the abstract:
Following the 2010 U.S. Supreme Court’s decision on Citizens United v FEC, interest groups engaging in outside spending can receive unlimited contributions from unions and corporations. Critics of the decision have rejected the notion, espoused by the majority opinion, that outside spending does not corrupt or distort the electoral process. Fewer, however, have examined the decision’s implications under the Court’s assumptions. Using a game-theoretic model of electoral competition, we show that informative outside spending from a group whose policy preferences are partially aligned with the electorate may reduce voter welfare. This negative effect is more likely to arise when the value of the interest group’s information is large, or congruence between voters and the interest group is high. Further, the regulatory environment produced by the Court’s decision is inefficient: the electorate would be better off if either outside spending were banned or coordination between candidates and the interest group allowed.