Gustavo Ribeiro (Harvard Law School) has posted No Need to Toss a Coin: Conflicting Scientific Expert Testimonies and Intellectual Due Process on SSRN. Here is the abstract:
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This paper focuses on the question of how decision makers with no relevant scientific background can (if at all) legitimately evaluate conflicting scientific expert testimonies of and determine their relative reliability. Skeptics argue that non-experts can never reach justifiable conclusions regarding the merits of conflicting expert testimonies because they lack the fundamental epistemic capacity to make such judgment calls. In this paper, I draw on works on epistemology, philosophy of science, science and technology studies, legal theory, and philosophy of practical reasoning in order to scrutinize recent proposals to solve the problem of conflicting scientific expert testimonies. Addressing this question is of ultimate importance due to the idea that immanent in the idea of rule-of-law there is an intellectual due process norm, which articulates that epistemically arbitrary legal decisions are also not legally justified.
This paper is divided in two parts. In Part I, I develop the basic philosophical inquiries underlying the debate about expert testimony. In particular, I first elaborate on the philosophy of testimony, and its epistemic justifications, then move to the idea of epistemic deference, and finish with philosophical and social studies on expertise. Part II presents the problem of conflicting scientific expert testimonies and analyzes recent attempts to solve it as formulated by Ward Jones, Alvin Goldman, and Scott Brewer. I argue that there is no single criterion (or set of criteria) upon which the non-expert could rely in order to make a rationally justified decision in each and every case he faced conflicting scientific expert testimonies. The alternative view here defended is to stop looking for an epistemic panacea and accept the idea that testimonial reliability operates differently within different kinds of testimony – and differently within the same kind of testimony at different times.