Cooter & Porat on Second Order Precaution

Robert D. Cooter and Ariel Porat (University of California, Berkeley – School of Law and Tel Aviv University) have posted Liability for Lapses: First or Second Order Negligence? on SSRN.  Here is the abstract:

<"First order precaution" directly affects the probability of an accident, such as judging the speed of a car and stepping on the brakes. Intentions are not always realized, so first order precaution is a draw from a probability distribution. Drawing an uncharacteristically low value is a "lapse." "Second order precaution" reduces the probability of a lapse. Examples include concentration when driving and preparation before performing a medical operation. The prevailing tort rule holds the injurer liable for harm caused by unreasonable first order precaution, regardless of second order precaution. Unlike the standard model, our model allows injurers to make second order precaution observable at a cost. Modifying the prevailing tort rule to allow a defense of second order reasonableness will cause injurers to satisfy the legal standard and make this fact observable. Three distinct advantages follow. First, the courts can set the legal standard to induce socially efficient second order behavior. Second, this defense reduces the burden of liability on the underlying activity, which is especially desirable to encourage activities that benefit others, such as practicing medicine. Third, this defense reduces the attraction of actors to activities and forms of precaution that decrease the probability of a lapse and increase the overall risk of an accident.

Very interesting.  I must admit that I am both intrigued and puzzled by this paper.  The distinction between first and second order precaution certainly seems reasonable on the surface, but I am not sure it will hold once the underlying assumptions are exposed.  In particular, the distinction (which is stated with brevity, to put it mildly) seems to have assumptions both about the metaphysics of causation–which might or might not hold up if fully theorized.  Nonetheless, highly recommended.